The Automobile Association has warned South Africans to prepare for a “steep hike” in the price of fuel as higher levies kick in, and an increase in international fuel prices makes its presence felt.
“International petroleum product prices, which have remained stable since mid-February, have climbed sharply since 12 March. We’re anticipating an increase of around 63 cents a litre for petrol, 57 cents for diesel. Illuminating paraffin, which is not affected by the levy increases, is expected to decrease by around four cents,” said the AA, commenting on unaudited month-end fuel price data released by the Central Energy Fund.
The Association added that the rand/dollar exchange rate had remained stable over the same period, meaning that most fuel prices would have increased even without the additional taxes announced in February’s budget speech.
The General Fuel Levy and Road Accident Fund (RAF) levy will go up in April by a combined 52 cents a litre, meaning substantial price increases at the pumps. These increases will push the total amount of taxes paid to the levies to R5,30 a litre (from R4,78). The AA says this means that around 40 percent of every litre of petrol is being paid to indirect taxes via fuel purchases.
The AA warns that these substantial increases will push the cost of fuel to over R14 a litre for inland users. These increases will also push the price of a litre of petrol closer to its December all-time high of R14,49 (93 octane) and R14,76 (95 octane) inland. Any further increases to international petroleum prices in the near future might see local pump prices quickly surpass these highs.
“An increase of 63 cents a litre to fuel means users will be paying around R14,17 for 93 unleaded octane inland, and R13,76 at the coast. Public transport providers such as taxis and busses will have to cover these increases by passing them directly to consumers, which means more of their already small wage packet goes to transport costs,” the Association noted.
The AA added that the cost of the shipment of goods around the country “will naturally also become more expensive as producers, suppliers and freight companies are forced to recover costs through increased prices”. All of this, it notes, must be seen against the backdrop of the increase in VAT from 14% to 15%.
“The good news is that [the Moody’s] decision to hold its current rating and change its outlook to ‘stable’ gives South Africa much-needed breathing space to address economic issues. We are hopeful increased political and economic stability will spill over into a more stable outlook for fuel prices,” the AA said.
