The Automobile Association says the price of all grades of fuel in South Africa look set to drop early in October 2020.

Commenting on unaudited month-end fuel price data released by the Central Energy Fund, the AA said “not even a steep bounce in both the rand/dollar exchange rate and international oil prices could take the shine off the good news”.

Based on current data, the AA says petrol is set to drop by 24 cents a litre for 93 unleaded and 33 cents a litre for 95 unleaded, while diesel will be down by around 93 cents and illuminating paraffin by 78 cents.

"The rand's daily average dipped as low as R16,10 to the dollar on 18 September, following a long downward trend which began in the first week of August. However, a steep jump to around R16,90 followed by a brief plateau and a further spike to nearly R17,20 caught watchers unawares, and there is rightly some concern about the rand's short- to medium-term trajectory," the AA pointed out.

The Association noted the rand's “weakening profile was mirrored” in strengthening international petroleum product prices.

"Almost in lockstep with the rand, diesel and petrol prices spiked, and then pulled back before starting a further climb. If this trend of a weakening rand and rising international fuel prices continues, it could be extremely negative for South African fuel users, and we will watch further changes with interest," the AA said.

It noted the trends since early August have been stronger for the rand and cheaper for oil.

"It is too early to tell whether the spikes in both were a blip or the start of a more sustained reversal, but motorists should continue to be wary given the ongoing instability in both local and global economies," the AA concluded.