The Automobile Association says South Africans will pay less for “most fuels” when prices are adjusted in the first week of September 2020.
Commenting on unaudited month-end fuel price data released by the Central Energy Fund, the AA said “firmer oil prices were stronger than a losing rand”.
The Association pointed out the retreat in oil prices meant 95-octane petrol was expected to drop by around four cents a litre, with diesel down by 19 cents and illuminating paraffin by 24 cents.
"The only fuel type set for an increase is 93-octane petrol, which will climb by about six cents a litre," the AA said.
"The bad news for the month was the rand, which pulled back from testing the R16,80 mark against the US dollar last month and headed towards R17,40 at mid-month, with a slight firming trend since.
“On average, exchange rate losses added around 17 cents a litre to next month's petrol price. The good news is that a steady performance from international oil prices has offset the rand's weakness," noted the AA.
However, the AA warned against complacency, noting international product prices had made some gains in the final week of August, which could put the fuel price on the back foot in the weeks to come.
"As the country comes to terms with the economic damage caused by the COVID-19 lockdown, there is also concern about government's ongoing policy uncertainty and levels of corruption as highlighted by the president," the Association said.
It noted these “failings affect investor confidence and, by extension, the rand's strength”, meaning the fuel price is higher than it should be, and will take longer than necessary to return to reasonable levels in the short to medium term.